Tough week last week as we went 1-3 and lost more than that paying extra vig. Two of the losses were really awful plays where we had the wrong side, although one really never can tell in the NFL. Sometimes teams just lay an egg, or fall behind on a couple of weird plays and end up chasing the game after that. Back to even on the year, and probably down slightly after vig. Will go back and calculate soon.
I also managed to have MIA last week. At least I didn't end up watching the game, and in fact didn't even realize I had the play until I checked my sportsbook balances. Oof.
Not much action this week as there are mostly lines I agree with, then one play that is off by almost a full TD which is weird. The Browns are certainly playing a little better with Mayfield and I do think the number I have here is a couple points too high but playing against shitty teams mostly at home is always going to pump up the stats of any new QB. Their defense has been fairly impressive but that is not being ignored in the number here. A stiffer test this week to be sure although the Chargers are a little banged up. As for the Cards, basically just a math play there.
Notable this week is OAK who have under-performed my preseason projections by more than any other team. I guess bad coaching and old players who already have contracts really doesn't win in the NFL. Who would have thought.
For the teaser players out there there are three solid Wong plays out there right now in TEN, PIT, and IND all in the 2.5/ 3 -120 range that should cover more than enough even if you have to lay -120 on a two-teamer. I don't really like TEN so I laid off that but if you are one of those "efficient markets" guys you certainly should fire and I am sure most of you have pounded those already by now.
Good luck to all this week.
